Predictive inference: From Bayesian inference to Imprecise Probability
نویسنده
چکیده
INTRODUCTION 2 The " Bag of marbles " example " Bag of marbles " problems (Walley, 1996) • " I have. .. a closed bag of coloured marbles. I intend to shake the bag, to reach into it and to draw out one marble. What is the probability that I will draw a red marble? " • " Suppose that we draw a sequence of marbles whose colours are (in order): blue, green, blue, blue, green, red.
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